Generating Predictability

"Drawing on a wide range of disciplines including psychology, economics, and sociological and political studies, this book develops a coherent and accessible theory for explaining the unpredictability of individual behaviour. The author then highlights the danger of institutional reforms undermining the very capacity to generate predictability which is so central to their success. This book will appeal to academics, researchers and professionals in the fields of judgement and decision making, forecasting, management studies, behavioural economics and the new, interdisciplinary field of institutional design."--Jacket.